First off I have questions, but his thread is NOT a call to arms. It is not a "I dare you" kind of a thing. I am not really interested in the "bring it on mentality", and I will not entertain it, encourage it or endorse it. I think that should be the last thing on our minds. I merely want to objectively talk and think about what could or might happen.
Back to it...
Lately I have seen more civil war talk and really from both sides. Normally you see this in just the prepper (often more conservative or libertarian) more fear mongering, tin foil hat groups. I know some of us may be more in that camp, and I am not denying that there may be some healthy need for being skeptical and slow to trust. Anyway, I have also seen more amped up talk from the left, which aside from the Antifa and BLM type groups is often less talked about.
So, that brings me to my questions.
1. What percentage chance would you say that there is a more concerted armed conflict (aside for protests here and Antifa/BLM type stuff here and there) that is impacting fairly widespread (multiple locations, multiple groups and multiple deaths) in the next 10 years?
2. How many percentage points has this shifted in the last 2-4 years and which way?
3. How bad do you think it will get if it comes to conflict?
4. What kind of things do you foresee?
5. What are your reasons? What factors and influences are at play?
All of this is of course speculation, and perhaps worth nothing, but as I have seen more talk about it, I want to take an objective approach to looking at the social/political environment.
My answers as I am thinking right now. Fee free to change my mind.
1. 50/50
2. The chances of conflict have increased, by about 20% in the last 2-4 years.
3. I have a hard time telling this, which is why I am asking. My gut tells me that the cities may have some semi widespread violence, and that police presence may diminish, which could make the issue worse. I do not see it erupting much into the suburbs, other than increased crime rates. That is somewhat already happening, but the causes are many. There could be some political violence to key people, but not sure.
4. There could be some disruptions of some services and deliveries, but at this point, I do not see it being that bad outside of major cities.
5. I think there is a lack of civility. The reasons are many. I will not go into detail, but I think there is a moral decline that is causing a lot of this. As a result, people are being less civil and this is never a good thing for society. I think there have been political and social personalities encouraging dissension and lawlessness. I think we are in a bad way.
These are my thoughts, feel free to change my mind and fix my thinking. Again, to be clear, I am not looking to start stuff, nor really finish it either, I am just tying to gauge what is going on.
Back to it...
Lately I have seen more civil war talk and really from both sides. Normally you see this in just the prepper (often more conservative or libertarian) more fear mongering, tin foil hat groups. I know some of us may be more in that camp, and I am not denying that there may be some healthy need for being skeptical and slow to trust. Anyway, I have also seen more amped up talk from the left, which aside from the Antifa and BLM type groups is often less talked about.
So, that brings me to my questions.
1. What percentage chance would you say that there is a more concerted armed conflict (aside for protests here and Antifa/BLM type stuff here and there) that is impacting fairly widespread (multiple locations, multiple groups and multiple deaths) in the next 10 years?
2. How many percentage points has this shifted in the last 2-4 years and which way?
3. How bad do you think it will get if it comes to conflict?
4. What kind of things do you foresee?
5. What are your reasons? What factors and influences are at play?
All of this is of course speculation, and perhaps worth nothing, but as I have seen more talk about it, I want to take an objective approach to looking at the social/political environment.
My answers as I am thinking right now. Fee free to change my mind.
1. 50/50
2. The chances of conflict have increased, by about 20% in the last 2-4 years.
3. I have a hard time telling this, which is why I am asking. My gut tells me that the cities may have some semi widespread violence, and that police presence may diminish, which could make the issue worse. I do not see it erupting much into the suburbs, other than increased crime rates. That is somewhat already happening, but the causes are many. There could be some political violence to key people, but not sure.
4. There could be some disruptions of some services and deliveries, but at this point, I do not see it being that bad outside of major cities.
5. I think there is a lack of civility. The reasons are many. I will not go into detail, but I think there is a moral decline that is causing a lot of this. As a result, people are being less civil and this is never a good thing for society. I think there have been political and social personalities encouraging dissension and lawlessness. I think we are in a bad way.
These are my thoughts, feel free to change my mind and fix my thinking. Again, to be clear, I am not looking to start stuff, nor really finish it either, I am just tying to gauge what is going on.