Article: America's Gun Stores are Overstocked

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  • xdmstu

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    Just sharing this article: America's gun stores are overstocked - Oct. 31, 2014

    [h=1]America's gun stores are overstocked[/h]
    By Aaron Smith @AaronSmithCNN October 31, 2014: 9:57 AM ET


    141031085613-sturm-ruger-guns-620xa.jpg
    Sales plunged for Sturm, Ruger, maker of the Mini-14 pictured here and a wide variety of other guns, because dealers overstocked, causing an inventory glut.

    NEW YORK (CNNMoney)
    [h=2]There's a glut of guns for sale in America.[/h]Gun dealers have overstocked, and now they're just selling off the inventory that they have, without ordering much from manufacturers.
    Gun sales surged to unprecedented levels following the Newtown massacre of December 2012, driven by concerns about increased federal regulations, particularly against assault rifles.
    Back then, Americans were buying AR-15s and AK-47s as fast as retailers could get them, pushing up prices and creating shortages of guns and ammo.
    The stores couldn't order them fast enough. But they over ordered and now there are too many guns sitting on their shelves.
    Sturm, Ruger (RGR) of Southport, Conn., one of the most prominent gunmakers, reported a plunge in sales and profit this week that sent its stock into a tail spin on Thursday. Net sales over three months went to $98 million from $171 million a year ago.
    The share price for its rival, Smith & Wesson (SWHC), also took a dive, as investors went sour on gunmakers.

    Sturm, Ruger makes a wide variety of guns, including M4 and Mini-14 military-style rifles, and sells them to distributors, who sell them to stores. It said "retailers [were] buying fewer firearms than they were selling, in an effort to reduce their inventories and generate cash."
    This is quite different from 2013 and earlier this year, when Sturm, Ruger CEO Michael Fifer complained about retailers placing "grossly unrealistic" orders with his company.
    Fifer called out "that guy with $25,000 worth of credit line hoping he's going to get $100 million worth of product before the surge ended."

    Oklahoma gun range to serve alcohol


    To be sure, consumers are still buying guns.
    As measured by FBI background checks, more people want to buy guns. The background checks, which are required for most but not all gun transactions, rose in September to 1.46 million, compared to 1.4 million the year before.
    In fact, background checks have risen every month since March, compared to last year.
    "We are assuming that inventory issues persist with distributors in the near term," wrote CRT Capital analyst Brian Ruttenbur in a market report. "We believe [Sturm, Ruger] will decrease production in 2015 and let inventory work its way through the channel."
    He projected that Sturm, Ruger will "dramatically reduce" production next year to 1 million guns, from 1.9 million this year. In this way, the company can avoid having to hold a fire sale.
    "We believe management will hold the line on discounts and therefore preserve margins at reasonable levels," he said.

     

    RSW

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    I'm holding out to see what the Black Friday deals look like at this point.
     

    Cameramonkey

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    Yeah, methinks black friday is gonna be NUTS. (and a red friday in a way since I could see them selling at cost (or lower) just to be out from under them.)

    Granted I also expect these deals to be VERY specific based on inventory, but still, could be some killer deals out there.

    It had to stop sometime...
     

    GodFearinGunTotin

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    Mitchell
    Admittedly, I haven't been to that many LGS's lately but the few that I have been in I didn't think they were "overstocked". I would characterize it as having a nice selection.

    Now...about this Black Friday thing...what would I be in the market to snag at the right price....hmmmmmmm......
     

    Cameramonkey

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    Oklahoma gun range to serve alcohol ...... WTF?!?

    Yep. And as I recall its strictly a post-shooting experience. Much like my former skydiving days... Beer was a-flowin on some questionable days where winds/clouds werent cooperating... but if you were so much as seen HOLDING a beer (you assumed that jumping was over for the day), you were grounded for the day even if the clouds parted and the winds stopped.

    Done properly, I dont see a big problem.
     

    Kirk Freeman

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    Admittedly, I haven't been to that many LGS's lately but the few that I have been in I didn't think they were "overstocked"

    Indiana gun shops are notorious for not being stocked at all. If you had a dollar for every time you heard "we can order whatever you want" in a gun store, how many tens of billions would you have?

    The big boxes and distributors are choking on the overstock. Prices will continue to fall until November 2016.

    For the next two years it is a buyer's market. Best to take advantage.
     

    Kirk Freeman

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    Oklahoma gun range to serve alcohol ...... WTF?!?

    I am not sure why that story in embedded there. Strange.

    NBD. Ranges with alcohol are common throughout the world. I don't know why they had the interview with the guy who thought one would be shooting while drinking?

    The concerns over alcohol at a gun range is simply projection in action. They would drink while shooting thus they think others would too.
     

    GodFearinGunTotin

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    Mitchell
    Indiana gun shops are notorious for not being stocked at all. If you had a dollar for every time you heard "we can order whatever you want" in a gun store, how many tens of billions would you have?

    The big boxes and distributors are choking on the overstock. Prices will continue to fall until November 2016.

    For the next two years it is a buyer's market. Best to take advantage.

    You're right. Thing is though, a few years ago AlGore invented the internet. Now I can order almost anything I want as well. :D
     

    NyleRN

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    I've only seen a few items that are stellar prices. Most stuff is still marked around pre panic prices, maybe $20 cheaper on firearms but to me that's not such a good deal to jump on it. Folks on armslist are still proud of their stuff and even here in the classifieds. People asking same price for used stuff that's on GB for said price and no bids
     

    Dr.Midnight

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    I'm holding out to see what the Black Friday deals look like at this point.

    Let me give you an amen from the congregation. As a consumer, I knew firearm inventory was looking good when I saw Colt was giving a $100 rebate on one of their 1911 models. I've never seen that before. I'm often wrong, and could be again in this case, but I expect an outstanding Black Friday in the world of firearms.
     
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    Expat

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    The background checks, which are required for most but not all gun transactions, rose in September to 1.46 million, compared to 1.4 million the year before.
    In fact, background checks have risen every month since March, compared to last year.

    Given these numbers in the story, I am not sure why retailers would be giving anything away.
     
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