Liberal Huffington Post election projections, updated hourly!

[melensdad]

From the Huffington Post, they are projecting the following winners in several VERY TIGHTLY matched races where polling data did not show clear winners:

With an 88% probability of winning, TOOMEY (R) will defeat SESTAK in Pennsylvania.

With an 80% probability of winning, ANGLE (R) will defeat REID in Nevada.

With a 73% probability of winning, KIRK (R) will win Obama's old ILLINOIS seat.

With a 72% probability of winning, BUCK (R) will defeat BENNET in Colorado.

With an 88% probability of winning, BOXER (D) will retain her seat in California.

With an 84% probability of winning, MANCHIN (D) will defeat Raese in W. Virginia.

With a 93% probability of winning, LIBERTARIAN Rand PAUL, running as a Republican, will win Kentucky.

With an 89% probability of LOSING, incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold will LOSE his seat in Wisconsin to newcomer Johnson.


You can find the results here => Breaking News and Opinion on The Huffington Post
They have Dan Coats winning Indiana with over a 90% probability and don't even bother to show Rebecca Sink Burris as a blip on the radar. Scroll over the state of your choice and and it shows their projections.

They have the Dems at 48 Senate seats, 4 toss ups, 2 seats as "other" and 46 for the GOP.

 

[rambone]

How do they determine these probabilities?

 

[_OZ_]

I would guess CA would not change much, they are odd anyway... and WV had the 99 year old man for 70 years and got them everything possible for the state, except jobs and education to stay Dem...

But it will be interesting to see how good they do at guessing

 

[mrjarrell]

1. Rand Paul might be a nice guy, but he's gone out of his way to say, time and again, that he isn't a libertarian. He's even gone so far as to seek the blessing of the current neo-cons in the gop to get their blessing.

2. I'd say that the HP is about right in their posts, as I've seen similar figures from other sources.

 

[rambone]

1. Rand Paul might be a nice guy, but he's gone out of his way to say, time and again, that he isn't a libertarian. He's even gone so far as to seek the blessing of the current neo-cons in the gop to get their blessing.

I would like to know more about this.

 

[mrjarrell]

I would like to know more about this.

Here ya go.

Rand Paul: "I'm not a libertarian" | Ron Paul 2012 | Campaign for Liberty at the Daily Paul
The Plum Line - Rand Paul kisses neocons' ring, but some neocons remain wary

 

[SemperFiUSMC]

1. Rand Paul might be a nice guy, but he's gone out of his way to say, time and again, that he isn't a libertarian. He's even gone so far as to seek the blessing of the current neo-cons in the gop to get their blessing.

2. I'd say that the HP is about right in their posts, as I've seen similar figures from other sources.

I would like to know more about this.

Here ya go.

Rand Paul: "I'm not a libertarian" | Ron Paul 2012 | Campaign for Liberty at the Daily Paul
The Plum Line - Rand Paul kisses neocons' ring, but some neocons remain wary

If he were a Libertarian his title would still be Doctor. Since he's a libertarian-leaning Republican who decided to attack the system from within, his title is Senator-elect. He'll be great Senator. Is there any way we could adopt him as our honorary Senator?

I wonder why the Tea Party has been more effective in electing good candidates in the past year than the Libertarian Party has been in 40 years.

 

[Fletch]

Wooten! Our gov race is being called for the candidate who said she'd pass open carry!