Ebola on the horizon?

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    INGO Clown
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    T.Lex

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    New WHO numbers as of Oct. 23: 10,141 cases, 4,922 deaths.

    Well, there's a big revision. New compiled numbers show 12,008 cases as of Oct. 24 and 5,078 deaths. Not sure what the spike is all about, but it is a 4.1% avg. daily jump from Oct. 19. Just a little less than 2x jump in cases from 30 days ago, and less than that in deaths. Liberia seems to be the source for the bulk of the jump.

    ETA:
    Reuters report that Australia instituted a visa ban on people from ebola-countries (not including US).
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/28/health-ebola-australia-idUSL4N0SN02K20141028

    Australia came under fire on Tuesday from health experts and rights advocates after it issued a blanket ban on visas from West African nations affected by the Ebola outbreak, making it the first rich nation to shut its doors to the region.
     
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    88GT

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    Well, there's a big revision. New compiled numbers show 12,008 cases as of Oct. 24 and 5,078 deaths. Not sure what the spike is all about, but it is a 4.1% avg. daily jump from Oct. 19. Just a little less than 2x jump in cases from 30 days ago, and less than that in deaths. Liberia seems to be the source for the bulk of the jump.

    ETA:
    Reuters report that Australia instituted a visa ban on people from ebola-countries (not including US).
    UPDATE 2-Australia issues blanket visa ban on Ebola-hit countries | Reuters

    Will be interesting to see if they remain ebola-free.
     

    T.Lex

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    Sometimes the simplest solutions are so hard to find....
    WHO | Sierra Leone: The Kenema tent helps to prevent Ebola spread
    “At a surveillance meeting we discussed these 2 very large unrelated households in Mondema who were at high risk of intra-household transmission – spreading Ebola within the family,” says Dr Andrew Ramsay, field coordinator for WHO in Kenema.
    “We thought OK, we need to give them space: we could put up a tent. So we called the WHO office in Freetown and got a tent the next day.”
    The WHO team advised that the tent should be used to allow people to distance themselves safely while in quarantine. If any family member developed symptoms, they should be isolated in one room while the rest of the family stayed in the tent.

    “Since we brought in the tents, we haven’t had another case in Mondema and their quarantine is now over,” says Ramsay.

    Correlation does not necessarily mean causation, but still... this seems like a relatively easy way to mitigate the risks.
     

    T.Lex

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    BBC is running with an early report of the updated numbers, while confirming that there appears to be a downward trend in Liberia:
    BBC News - Ebola crisis: Infections 'slowing in Liberia'
    The WHO's Bruce Aylward said it was confident the response to the virus was now gaining the upper hand.
    But he warned against any suggestion that the crisis was over.
    He said the new number of cases globally was 13,703 and that the death toll, to be published later on Wednesday, would probably pass 5,000.

    ...
    Dr Aylward said : "It appears that the trend is real in Liberia and there may indeed be a slowing."
    "Do we feel confident that the response is now getting an upper hand on the virus? Yes, we are seeing a slowing rate of new cases, very definitely."

    So, that's a bit of good news.
     

    Expat

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    So I can get ebola from a door knob but not from a full blown sneeze right into my face...color me dubious....
     

    singlesix

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    T.Lex

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    No kidding.

    Updated WHO numbers as of Oct. 29 (Oct. 25 for Liberia) - 13,540 cases in West Africa, with 4,941 deaths. There is some discrepancy - a couple hundred cases - between those numbers and compiled numbers from other sources. And, Liberia's delay is particularly troubling. Who knows (pardon the pun) how many they really have.

    In any event, the mortality rate still appears to be dropping, which is good. Hard to really tell if the number of cases is slowing down.
     
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